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Joe Biden's Hispanic voter problem is real

September 15, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden speaks after a virtual meeting on safe school reopening, in Wilmington, Delaware, on September 2, 2020. (Photo by JIM WATSON / AFP) (Photo by JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images)

President Donald Trump is making his case for Hispanic votes in Arizona and Nevada this week. Meanwhile, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is making his first general election appearance in Florida on Tuesday, with an event to commemorate Hispanic Heritage Month.

Biden is winning Hispanics right now, but just by 28 points in an average of live interview polls taken over the last few months.

Perhaps not surprisingly, Biden's best path to the White House largely relies on winning states Trump won four years ago and where Hispanics voters make up less than 5% of the electorate.

Indeed, Biden can struggle with Hispanic voters and still win the election.

The result is a Biden lead nationally and in the swing states because White voters make up about seven times the percentage of the electorate Hispanics do nationally and at least three times (though in some cases many more times) in the closest swing states Trump won in 2016.

Part of Biden's issue no doubt is Trump's efforts to win over Hispanic voters in Florida.

An average of live interview non-partisan Florida polls taken since the summer gives Biden just a six-point lead with Hispanics.

A quick look at CNN polls taken this summer shows that on average twice as many Hispanics (10%) said they were not currently planning on voting for Biden or Trump than voters overall (5%).

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