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How coronavirus is sinking Trump's election hopes

October 29, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

WEST SALEM, WISCONSIN - OCTOBER 27: President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the LaCrosse Fairgrounds Speedway on October 27, 2020 in West Salem, Wisconsin. A recent polling average has Trump trailing former vice president and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden by about 7 points in the state. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

I have long argued that coronavirus was the only election issue that really mattered. History tells us that when a non-economic issue is topping the list of the nation's problems in a presidential election year, then the candidate who is trusted most on that issue almost always wins.

(CNN)I have long argued that coronavirus was the only election issue that really mattered.

History tells us that when a non-economic issue is topping the list of the nation's problems in a presidential election year, then the candidate who is trusted most on that issue almost always wins.

Coronavirus is raging nationwide with only five days to go until Election Day. For President Donald Trump to win reelection, he's going to have to somehow do so even as cases are on the upswing in almost all the key battleground states that he won four years ago.

There were 10 states Trump won by less than 10 points in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin.

The high number of coronavirus cases can't possibly help the President in the closing stretch of the campaign.

Remember, Trump won the state by a little less than a point in 2016.

In one (likely outlier) poll released on Wednesday, Biden was up 17 points among likely voters.

But even if there were no direct link between coronavirus activity in a state and Trump's standing, the mere discussion of the pandemic is not a good thing for Trump.

Our CNN/SSRS poll on Wednesday showed that Biden was more trusted to handle the coronavirus by 57% of likely voters.

Biden has never trailed Trump in any CNN poll on who was better to handle the coronavirus crisis.

During that same period, Biden has maintained a north of 5-point lead in the horse race against Trump.

This goes back to a deeper problem for Trump: He isn't trusted, period.

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