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CNN Polls: Biden leads in Michigan and Wisconsin as campaign ends, with tighter races in Arizona and North Carolina

October 31, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an advantage in the upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan, according to CNN Polls conducted by SSRS, but the race between Biden and President Donald Trump is tighter in the battlegrounds of Arizona and North Carolina.

(CNN)Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an advantage in the upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan, according to CNN Polls conducted by SSRS, but the race between Biden and President Donald Trump is tighter in the battlegrounds of Arizona and North Carolina.

White voters with college degrees in the two northern states favor Biden by especially wide margins, 61% support the former vice president in both Michigan and Wisconsin, compared with about half in Arizona (50%) and North Carolina (51%).

There are sizable gender gaps across all four states, with 55% or more of women backing Biden in each of these states, while men break in Trump's favor in North Carolina and Arizona and split evenly between the two in Michigan and Wisconsin.

More than 7 in 10 Trump voters in each poll say their vote is more for Trump than it is against Biden (79% in Wisconsin, 77% in Arizona and Michigan and 71% in North Carolina say so).

A majority in Wisconsin say their vote is for the former vice president (52%) rather than against Trump (43%), but the numbers show about an even split in Arizona (48% against Trump, 45% for Biden), Michigan (47% for Biden, 43% against Trump) and North Carolina (45% for Biden, 43% against Trump).

Trump has the advantage in Arizona and in Wisconsin as the candidate with the stamina and sharpness to be president, while voters in North Carolina and Michigan split on that question.

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