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Analysis: Trump's law and order campaign isn't working

September 6, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

Poll of the week: A new CNN/SSRS poll has former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by a 51% to 43% margin.

(CNN)Poll of the week: A new CNN/SSRS poll has former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by a 51% to 43% margin.

Could Trump's efforts to refocus the campaign on crime and law and order help him close what has been a consistent deficit?

It's not just that Trump is still down to Biden.

View Trump and Biden head-to-head polling

As my colleagues Gregory Krieg, Dan Merica and Ryan Nobles noted back in June, Trump's law and order messaging harkens back to Richard Nixon's 1968 campaign of trying to appeal to White voters.

The polls show, however, that, for a Republican, Trump is very much struggling with White voters.

Trump is ahead of Biden by just 3 points in an average of live interview polls taken since the conventions.

In other words, White voter support for Trump has not climbed in the last few weeks.

Trump won White voters by 13 points in the final pre-election polls in 2016.

In fact, you have to go all the way back to 1996 for a Republican to have done as poorly among white voters as Trump is right now.

That's the opposite of what you would expect if Trump's law and order campaign was successful at stroking White backlash.

Trump polling that indicates Trump's efforts are currently failing.

Our CNN poll had Biden ahead of Trump by a 7-point margin on who they thought, if elected, would do a better job on the criminal justice system in the United States.

The swing state polling doesn't look much better for Trump.

In both Arizona and Wisconsin, voters said Biden would be better by a 5-point margin.

Yet, the shooting or the aftermath doesn't seem (at least in the polling) to have helped Trump in the Badger State.

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