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Analysis: Trump is running short of time and targets

September 13, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

Judging from earlier scandals, revelations about President Donald Trump's deceit about coronavirus and derogation of fallen soldiers won't repel many of his supporters.

(CNN)Judging from earlier scandals, revelations about President Donald Trump's deceit about coronavirus and derogation of fallen soldiers won't repel many of his supporters.

With support hovering around 43% nationally, Trump needs a chunk of new supporters to overcome Democratic nominee Joe Biden's lead.

In summer 2016, Libertarian standard-bearer Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein drew roughly 10% in combined support before fading to half that level by Election Day. Trump's tumultuous presidency has diminished the market for experimentation, leaving comparatively-obscure third-party choices with smaller followings this year.

View Trump and Biden head-to-head polling

Intense feelings about Trump give Republican strategists reason to hope undecided voters might break his way.

Drawing within 3-4 points in the popular vote, election modelers say, would give Trump a reasonable chance.

If the former vice president can hold and augment that support with even a small share of undecideds, he'd capture 289 electoral votes -- 19 more than needed to win.

Thus Trump needs "to claw back some people who now say they're voting for Biden," says Kyle Kondik of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.

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