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Analysis: No, Mike Pence isn't going to invoke the 25th Amendment

January 11, 2021. Summarized by summa-bot.

Compression ratio: 50.3%. 2 min read.

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 13: U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence walk away after speaking about Operation Warp Speed in the Rose Garden at the White House on November 13, 2020 in Washington, DC. The is the first time President Trump has spoken since election night last week, as COVID-19 infections surge in the United States. (Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)

On Sunday night, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called on Vice President Mike Pence to immediately invoke the 25th Amendment -- removing Trump from office in the wake of the storming of the US Capitol by supporters of the President last Wednesday.

(CNN)On Sunday night, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called on Vice President Mike Pence to immediately invoke the 25th Amendment -- removing Trump from office in the wake of the storming of the US Capitol by supporters of the President last Wednesday.

(Other parts of the 25th Amendment have been used -- it's how Vice President Gerald Ford assumed power following the resignation of President Richard Nixon. ) Pence isn't going to make that sort of history unless he feels as though he absolutely has to.

2) It's not at all clear that a majority of the remaining Trump Cabinet members would support removal -- even if Pence pushes it.

While, according to sources cited by CNN, there are several Cabinet officials trying to build momentum among their colleagues to force a Cabinet meeting with Trump so they can confront him, even that is a far cry from those same officials being willing to support a 25th Amendment removal.

3) Trump is only president for nine more days.

Pence has to be hoping that Trump is chastened enough by the events of last week (and the condemnations of the President that swiftly followed) that he will lie low for the next week.

Of course, Trump doesn't appear to be chastened in the least, which is why Pence continues to keep the 25th Amendment option in his back pocket.

Remember that at this time last week, Pence still thought his four-year project -- subjugating himself to Trump in hopes of inheriting the outgoing President's political base in 2024 -- was on track.

Which means that if Trump stays quiet -- or at least doesn't do something as or more dangerous than inciting a riot at one of the government's most visible symbols -- Pence will let all of the 25th Amendment talk stay purely in the realm of the hypothetical.

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