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Analysis: How Trump won the economic message battle

December 25, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

Compression ratio: 42.3%. 2 min read.

In this Dec. 7, 2020 photo President Donald Trump in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington. Trump has announced that Israel and Morocco will normalize relations in the latest achievement of his administration's press to push Arab-Israeli peace. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

President Donald Trump has always liked to talk about how strong the economy was under his watch.

Although judging a president's economic performance can be difficult because there's only so much he can control, Americans at large, and voters specifically, seemed to agree with Trump.

When voters were asked whether Trump's policies helped, hurt or made no difference to the state of the economy, 50% said they helped.

Voters don't expect that type of record from Trump's successor, President-elect Joe Biden.

Based solely on what the voters are saying, the economy isn't what cost Trump a second term.

Trump's strong ratings on the economy is probably why he continuously tried to make the 2020 election about it.

A majority of voters (52%) said they approved of Trump's economic performance in the Quinnipiac poll.

Other polling similarly pegs Trump's economic approval rating at 50% or above.

The disconnect between Trump's economic record through the metrics most analysts examine and how voters thought he was doing is interesting.

It could be that voters didn't blame Trump for any economic decline caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

Either way, Trump's economic approval rating is higher than the other presidents who lost their bid for a second term (Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush).

Trump's economic approval rating is actually far more similar to those presidents who were re-elected.

Ronald Reagan, who cruised to a second term, had a 54% economic approval rating in an October 1984 CBS News poll.

Bush in 2004 and Obama in 2012 actually had economic approval ratings in the low-to- mid 40s just before voters gave them another four years.

Put another way: Trump's economic approval rating was actually better than the two previous presidents who were re-elected.

by summa-bot

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