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Analysis: How this single piece of legislation could change elections forever

March 2, 2021. Summarized by summa-bot.

Compression ratio: 24.1%. 1 min read.

Sometime this week, the Democratic-controlled House is expected to pass the "For the People Act," a sweeping set of electoral reforms that would, among others things, seek to increase voting and election security and aim to stem the flow of special interest money from unknown sources into campaigns.

The "For the People Act" would require that every state establish a 15-person independent commission -- comprised of five Republicans, five Democrats and five independents or members of other smaller parties -- to redraw the district lines following the decennial census and the reapportionment of the 435 congressional seats that follows.

The state's congressional districts have regularly changed hands between the parties, with Republicans winning two previously-held Democratic seats in the 2020 election.

In the election in the state's 2nd District, the Republican candidate leads the Democrat candidate by six -- SIX!

Logic follows that if you, as a member of Congress, know that you represent a district evenly split along party lines, you are much more likely to try to find ways to appeal to voters of both parties through your actions in the House.

According to redistricting guru David Wasserman at the Cook Political Report, Republicans will have the final line-drawing say in 188 House seats, while Democrats will be in total control of the lines in just 73 seats.

(Another 45 seats will be under divided control between the two parties and 122 will see their lines drawn by independent or bipartisan commissions. ) He adds that Republicans could gain as many as 10 seats solely from the number of map-drawing processes in key states they will control over the next 18 months.

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