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Analysis: Donald Trump is now openly begging for votes

October 14, 2020. Summarized by summa-bot.

At a rally in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday night, President Donald Trump revealed just how desperate his political fortunes are at the moment.

"Suburban women, will you please like me?" he pleaded.

Trump is right, of course, that he has a major problem with suburban voters -- and suburban women in particular.

In 2016, Trump won voters who lived in the suburbs -- 49% of the total electorate -- by 2 points over Hillary Clinton, according to Pew. Two years later, the President's party was crushed in the 2018 midterms -- losing control of the House -- thanks in large part to a suburban revolt against Trump.

States like Colorado, Pennsylvania, Texas, Georgia and Florida -- where much of the population resides in suburban areas -- have all moved away from Trump over the past few years.

Florida, Texas and Georgia are all toss ups at this point, largely due to Trump's underperformance in the suburban areas of the state.

The problem for Trump is that knowing he has a problem in the suburbs and fixing it are two very different things.

Trump, as his quote on Tuesday night makes clear, has tried to scare women in the suburbs into voting for him; if Joe Biden wins, he claim with little subtlety, roving gangs of Antifa supporters will invade your suburban paradise.

"President Trump's effort to court suburban women by promising to protect their neighborhoods is encountering one sizable hitch: Most suburban women say their neighborhoods aren't particularly under threat. "

The Point: Trump knows he is losing.

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